Token holder distribution, concentration metrics, insider detection, and supply analysis for Solana tokens
npx skills add https://github.com/agiprolabs/claude-trading-skills --skill token-holder-analysis
Analyze who holds a token, how concentrated ownership is, and whether insider patterns suggest risk. This is a critical pre-trade safety check — high concentration means a few wallets can crash the price.
import httpx
import math
# Using Helius DAS API for holder data
HELIUS_KEY = os.getenv("HELIUS_API_KEY", "")
HELIUS = f"https://mainnet.helius-rpc.com/?api-key={HELIUS_KEY}"
# Or using SolanaTracker for holder + risk data
ST_KEY = os.getenv("SOLANATRACKER_API_KEY", "")
ST = "https://data.solanatracker.io"
# Get top holders via RPC
def get_top_holders(mint: str) -> list[dict]:
resp = httpx.post(HELIUS, json={
"jsonrpc": "2.0", "id": 1,
"method": "getTokenLargestAccounts",
"params": [mint],
})
return resp.json()["result"]["value"]
holders = get_top_holders("TOKEN_MINT")
| Source | What It Provides | Auth |
|--------|-----------------|------|
| Solana RPC (getTokenLargestAccounts) | Top 20 holders, supply | RPC key |
| Helius DAS (getAsset, token accounts) | Parsed holder data, metadata | API key |
| SolanaTracker (/tokens/{t}/holders/top) | Top 100 holders, bundler detection | API key |
| Birdeye (/defi/token_security) | Top 10 %, creator balance, freeze/mint auth | API key |
The simplest measure — what % of supply do the top N holders control?
def top_n_percentage(holders: list[dict], supply: int, n: int = 10) -> float:
"""Calculate percentage held by top N holders.
Args:
holders: Sorted list of holders (largest first).
supply: Total token supply.
n: Number of top holders.
Returns:
Percentage (0-100) held by top N.
"""
top_n_amount = sum(int(h.get("amount", 0)) for h in holders[:n])
return top_n_amount / supply * 100 if supply > 0 else 0
Risk thresholds:
Measures inequality of token distribution (0 = perfectly equal, 1 = one holder owns everything).
def gini_coefficient(amounts: list[float]) -> float:
"""Calculate Gini coefficient for holder distribution.
Args:
amounts: List of holder amounts (any order).
Returns:
Gini coefficient between 0 and 1.
"""
if not amounts or all(a == 0 for a in amounts):
return 0.0
sorted_amounts = sorted(amounts)
n = len(sorted_amounts)
cumsum = sum((i + 1) * a for i, a in enumerate(sorted_amounts))
total = sum(sorted_amounts)
return (2 * cumsum) / (n * total) - (n + 1) / n
Interpretation for crypto tokens:
Measures market concentration — sum of squared market shares.
def hhi(amounts: list[float]) -> float:
"""Calculate HHI for holder concentration.
Args:
amounts: List of holder amounts.
Returns:
HHI value (0-10000). Higher = more concentrated.
"""
total = sum(amounts)
if total == 0:
return 0.0
shares = [a / total * 100 for a in amounts]
return sum(s ** 2 for s in shares)
Interpretation:
Minimum number of holders needed to control >50% of supply.
def nakamoto_coefficient(amounts: list[float]) -> int:
"""Calculate Nakamoto coefficient (holders needed for 51%).
Args:
amounts: Sorted list of holder amounts (largest first).
Returns:
Number of holders needed for majority control.
"""
total = sum(amounts)
if total == 0:
return 0
threshold = total * 0.51
cumulative = 0
for i, amount in enumerate(sorted(amounts, reverse=True)):
cumulative += amount
if cumulative >= threshold:
return i + 1
return len(amounts)
Bundlers use atomic transaction bundles (via Jito) to execute coordinated buys at token launch. Detection signals:
def detect_bundler_patterns(holders: list[dict], first_buyers: list[dict]) -> dict:
"""Identify potential bundler activity.
Args:
holders: Current top holders.
first_buyers: Early buyers from SolanaTracker /first-buyers endpoint.
Returns:
Bundler risk analysis.
"""
early_still_holding = [
b for b in first_buyers
if b.get("holdingAmount", 0) > 0
]
early_holder_pct = sum(
b.get("holdingPercentage", 0) for b in early_still_holding
)
return {
"early_buyers_count": len(first_buyers),
"still_holding_count": len(early_still_holding),
"early_holder_pct": round(early_holder_pct, 2),
"risk": "HIGH" if early_holder_pct > 20 else
"MODERATE" if early_holder_pct > 10 else "LOW",
}
Creator wallet retention is a risk signal:
def check_developer_risk(token_data: dict) -> dict:
"""Check developer wallet holdings and authority.
Args:
token_data: Token info from SolanaTracker or Birdeye.
Returns:
Developer risk assessment.
"""
risk = token_data.get("risk", {})
flags = []
# Check creator balance (from Birdeye security endpoint)
creator_balance = token_data.get("creatorBalance", 0)
if creator_balance > 10:
flags.append(f"Creator holds {creator_balance:.1f}% of supply")
# Check mint authority
if token_data.get("mintAuthority") or token_data.get("ownerAddress"):
flags.append("Mint authority NOT renounced — supply can increase")
# Check freeze authority
if token_data.get("freezeAuthority") or token_data.get("freezeable"):
flags.append("Freeze authority enabled — tokens can be frozen")
return {
"flags": flags,
"risk_level": "HIGH" if len(flags) >= 2 else
"MODERATE" if len(flags) == 1 else "LOW",
}
Snipers buy in the first few seconds/blocks after token creation:
def analyze_sniper_concentration(first_buyers: list[dict], total_supply: float) -> dict:
"""Analyze sniper impact on holder distribution.
Args:
first_buyers: First buyers data from SolanaTracker.
total_supply: Total token supply.
Returns:
Sniper concentration analysis.
"""
# Snipers typically buy in first 10 seconds
snipers = first_buyers[:10] # first N buyers are potential snipers
sniper_holding = sum(b.get("holdingAmount", 0) for b in snipers)
sniper_pct = sniper_holding / total_supply * 100 if total_supply > 0 else 0
return {
"sniper_count": len(snipers),
"sniper_holding_pct": round(sniper_pct, 2),
"sniper_still_holding": sum(1 for s in snipers if s.get("holdingAmount", 0) > 0),
"risk": "HIGH" if sniper_pct > 15 else
"MODERATE" if sniper_pct > 5 else "LOW",
}
def full_holder_analysis(mint: str) -> dict:
"""Run complete holder analysis for a token.
Combines RPC, SolanaTracker, and computed metrics.
"""
# 1. Get supply and top holders via RPC
supply_result = rpc_call("getTokenSupply", [mint])
total_supply = int(supply_result["result"]["value"]["amount"])
holders = get_top_holders(mint)
amounts = [int(h["amount"]) for h in holders]
# 2. Compute concentration metrics
metrics = {
"total_supply": total_supply,
"holder_count": len(holders),
"top_1_pct": top_n_percentage(holders, total_supply, 1),
"top_5_pct": top_n_percentage(holders, total_supply, 5),
"top_10_pct": top_n_percentage(holders, total_supply, 10),
"top_20_pct": top_n_percentage(holders, total_supply, 20),
"gini": round(gini_coefficient(amounts), 4),
"hhi": round(hhi(amounts), 1),
"nakamoto": nakamoto_coefficient(amounts),
}
# 3. Risk classification
t10 = metrics["top_10_pct"]
if t10 > 80:
metrics["risk"] = "EXTREME"
elif t10 > 50:
metrics["risk"] = "HIGH"
elif t10 > 30:
metrics["risk"] = "MODERATE"
else:
metrics["risk"] = "LOW"
return metrics
| Metric | Low Risk | Moderate | High | Extreme |
|--------|----------|----------|------|---------|
| Top 10 % | <30% | 30-50% | 50-80% | >80% |
| Gini | <0.7 | 0.7-0.85 | 0.85-0.95 | >0.95 |
| HHI | <1500 | 1500-2500 | 2500-5000 | >5000 |
| Nakamoto | >10 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1 |
| Mint Auth | Renounced | — | Active | Active + high dev % |
| Freeze Auth | Disabled | — | Enabled | Enabled + low liq |
When computing holder concentration, exclude these addresses which are programs/pools, not individual holders:
KNOWN_PROGRAMS = {
"5Q544fKrFoe6tsEbD7S8EmxGTJYAKtTVhAW5Q5pge4j1", # Raydium authority
"GThUX1Atko4tqhN2NaiTazWSeFWMuiUvfFnyJyUghFMJ", # Orca authority
# Add more as needed
}
def filter_real_holders(holders: list[dict]) -> list[dict]:
"""Remove known program/pool accounts from holder list."""
return [h for h in holders if h.get("address") not in KNOWN_PROGRAMS]
references/concentration_metrics.md — Mathematical formulas and derivations for Gini, HHI, Nakamotoreferences/insider_patterns.md — Bundler, sniper, and developer detection methodologyreferences/data_sources.md — How to fetch holder data from each API sourcescripts/analyze_holders.py — Full holder analysis: fetch holders, compute metrics, generate risk reportscripts/concentration_scanner.py — Scan multiple tokens for concentration riskComprehensive spreadsheet creation, editing, and analysis with support for formulas, formatting, data analysis, and visualization. When Claude needs to work with spreadsheets (.xlsx, .xlsm, .csv, .tsv, etc) for: (1) Creating new spreadsheets with formulas and formatting, (2) Reading or analyzing data, (3) Modify existing spreadsheets while preserving formulas, (4) Data analysis and visualization in spreadsheets, or (5) Recalculating formulas
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