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Russia–NATO risk ladder MCP Server

by russianato Your server? Claim it
answering

Russia–NATO risk ladder is answering right now. Last checked 5 min ago. It exposes 8 tools.

Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site.

Uptime history 26 days of history
26 days agonow
100.0%
Uptime 24h
91 of 91 checks
8
Tools
read from the server
133 ms
Response time
average over 24h
open, no key
Access
streamable-http

Nothing serious here today

Today is the operative word: we check Russia–NATO risk ladder every 15 minutes and re-read its code on every release. Watch it and you find out the day that stops being true.

Three servers free · no card

Connect this server

Endpoint below is the one we actually reach during checks — not the one copied from a README. Last verified 5 min ago.

run in your terminal
claude mcp add risk-ladder --transport http https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp
Settings → Connectors → Add custom connector, then paste this address
https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp
~/.codex/config.toml
[mcp_servers.risk-ladder]
url = "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
.cursor/mcp.json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}
.vscode/mcp.json
{
  "servers": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Available tools 8

Read directly from the server with tools/list, grouped by what they act on. If a tool disappears, we record the date.

changelog
get_changelog
Significant changes to data, model and site, and the corrections history (what was wrong, what changed, who reported it).
forecast
get_forecast_history
Published Metaculus probabilities by 2035 for an attack on European NATO or a seizure of Baltic territory, with the annual conversion for each observation.
intelligence
get_intelligence_assessments
Public assessments by intelligence services and governments of 12 countries, newest first, with hand-coded tone from -2 to +2 for a military attack and for hybrid attacks, averages by country, check dates and links.
methodology
get_methodology
Level definitions, formulas, current assumptions with check dates, the verbal probability scale and what the model deliberately does not do.
other
get_other_forecasts
Prediction markets and other numeric forecasts with a different event or horizon (Manifold, Polymarket, Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, Atlantic Council), with check dates and corrections.
overview
get_overview
Start here. Annual risk for the five escalation levels today, a year ago and in one year (optimistic / baseline / pessimistic), plus average intelligence tone per country. Every number carries its provenance (published / model / manual).
risk
get_risk_ladder
Annual risk of each level on a date between one year ago and one year ahead of the data date. Past dates use the published forecast archive; future dates use the scenario model and also return cumulative risk from the data date. Optional what-if assumptions.
sources
get_sources
The 51 sources with what each says, how it is used, countries, check date and link. Filter by type (intel, research, method, forecast), country or text.

Endpoints

URLTransportStateLatencyChecked
https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp streamable-http answering 123 ms 5 min ago

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Russia–NATO risk ladder — questions

Answers built from our own checks of this server.

What can Russia–NATO risk ladder do?
It exposes 8 tools, read directly from the server on our last check. Among them: get_changelog, get_forecast_history, get_intelligence_assessments, get_methodology, get_other_forecasts, get_overview and 2 more. The full list with descriptions is on this page — we take it from the server itself via tools/list, not from a README. How MCP servers expose tools in the first place →
Is Russia–NATO risk ladder working right now?
We send a real MCP handshake every 15 minutes. Over the last 24 hours 91 of 91 checks got a reply (100.0%), average response time 133 ms. The bar chart above shows every period we have measured.
How do I connect Russia–NATO risk ladder?
Copy the ready config from this page. We generate it for Claude Code, Claude Desktop, Codex, Cursor and VS Code, each in the form that client actually reads. It is a remote server, so there is nothing to install — the client connects to the address.
Does Russia–NATO risk ladder need an API key?
No. Russia–NATO risk ladder completed a full MCP handshake with us as an anonymous client and listed its tools without asking for anything. All 8 of them are readable on this page. This is what we observed, not what the docs claim.
How fast is Russia–NATO risk ladder?
It answers our handshake in 133 ms on average, which is faster than 86% of all working MCP servers we measure. That puts it in the quick quarter of the ecosystem. The comparison comes from our own checks across the whole registry, every 15 minutes.