Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP Server

by predictionmarketspicks Your server? Claim it

not responding

Weather Markets Edge Desk is listed as active in the registry but did not answer our last check. It exposes 7 tools. Last commit 3 Nov 2026.

Kalshi weather markets: daily-high board beside the NWS forecast, live edges, EV, Kelly, base rates.

Uptime history 60 days of history · worst day 0%

60 days agonow

0.0%

Uptime 24h

0 of 182 checks

Tools

read from the server

75 ms

Response time

average over 24h

Stars

last commit 3 Nov 2026

What changed 34

Every tool that appeared, vanished or quietly changed what it asks for. Recorded since 11 September 2026. No other catalogue keeps this.

7 Nov 4 tools changed the parameters they ask for calculate_ev, edge_alerts, kelly_size and 1 more

7 Nov 2 tool descriptions were rewritten calculate_ev, kelly_size

25 Oct 7 tools changed the parameters they ask for base_rate_gap, bayes_update, calculate_ev and 4 more

25 Oct a tool description was rewritten edge_alerts

18 Oct 6 tools changed the parameters they ask for base_rate_gap, bayes_update, calculate_ev and 3 more

18 Oct 3 tool descriptions were rewritten base_rate_gap, calculate_ev, weather_board

8 Oct 6 tools changed the parameters they ask for base_rate_gap, bayes_update, calculate_ev and 3 more

8 Oct 3 tool descriptions were rewritten base_rate_gap, calculate_ev, edge_alerts

8 Oct a tool appeared weather_board

11 Sep a tool changed the parameters it asks for bayes_update

Weather Markets Edge Desk does not always answer

Over the last week it answered 0.5% of our checks. We check every 15 minutes, so you hear about the next outage within the hour — not from your users.

Connect this server

Endpoint below is the one we actually reach during checks — not the one copied from a README. Last verified 13 min ago.

Claude Code Claude Desktop Codex Cursor VS Code

run in your terminal

claude mcp add weather --transport http https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp

Settings → Connectors → Add custom connector, then paste this address

https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp

~/.codex/config.toml

[mcp_servers.weather]
url = "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp"

.cursor/mcp.json

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "weather": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp"
    }
  }
}

.vscode/mcp.json

{
  "servers": {
    "weather": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp"
    }
  }
}

This server publishes 1 more address. The block above uses the one we reach during checks; the full list is under Endpoints below, and the author may intend a particular one for your client.

Available tools 7

Read directly from the server with tools/list, grouped by what they act on. If a tool disappears, we record the date.

base

base_rate_gap

Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.

bayes

bayes_update

Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".

calculate

calculate_ev

Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read, with that venue's fee.

convert

convert_probability

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

edge

edge_alerts

Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "where is the edge today" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One identical, impersonal feed for every subscriber; filters only select. Informational, not investment advice.

kelly

kelly_size

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

weather

weather_board

Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only.

Endpoints

URL	Transport	State	Latency	Checked
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp	streamable-http	answering	75 ms	13 min ago
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry	streamable-http	answering	84 ms	13 min ago

Alternatives to Weather Markets Edge Desk

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Weather Markets Edge Desk — questions

Answers built from our own checks of this server.

What can Weather Markets Edge Desk do?

It exposes 7 tools, read directly from the server on our last check. Among them: base_rate_gap, bayes_update, calculate_ev, convert_probability, edge_alerts, kelly_size and 1 more. The full list with descriptions is on this page — we take it from the server itself via tools/list, not from a README. How MCP servers expose tools in the first place →

Is Weather Markets Edge Desk working right now?

We send a real MCP handshake every 15 minutes. Over the last 24 hours 0 of 182 checks got a reply (0.0%), average response time 75 ms. The bar chart above shows every period we have measured.

The registry lists Weather Markets Edge Desk as active — why does it not respond?

The official MCP registry stores what the author submitted; it does not verify that the server still runs. We check the endpoint ourselves, and this one does not answer. Catalogues that copy the registry without checking will show it as working.

How do I connect Weather Markets Edge Desk?

Copy the ready config from this page. We generate it for Claude Code, Claude Desktop, Codex, Cursor and VS Code, each in the form that client actually reads. It is a remote server, so there is nothing to install — the client connects to the address.

Does Weather Markets Edge Desk need an API key?

No. Weather Markets Edge Desk completed a full MCP handshake with us as an anonymous client and listed its tools without asking for anything. All 7 of them are readable on this page. This is what we observed, not what the docs claim.

Is Weather Markets Edge Desk open source?

The code is open source: it is published under the MIT licence, written in JavaScript, 0 stars on GitHub and 1 open issue. The licence covers the code in the repository, not the hosted service at predictionmarketspicks.com, which runs on its operator's own terms.