Prediction Markets Quant is listed as active in the registry but did not answer our last check. It exposes 39 tools. Last commit 3 Nov 2026.
Independent quant layer: fee-adjusted edge, Kelly, combos, best price: Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig
Uptime history
91 days of history · worst day 0%
91 days agonow
0.0%
Uptime 24h
0 of 182 checks
39
Tools
read from the server
75 ms
Response time
average over 24h
0
Stars
last commit 3 Nov 2026
What changed 258
Every tool that appeared, vanished or quietly changed what it asks for. Recorded since 11 August 2026. No other catalogue keeps this.
25 Oct
39 tools changed the parameters they ask for
base_rate_gap, bayes_update, best_price and 36 more
25 Oct
9 tool descriptions were rewritten
edge_alerts, explain_game, explain_ladder and 6 more
25 Oct
6 tools disappeared
adp_market_gaps, best_available, compare_players and 3 more
23 Oct
a tool appeared
best_price
23 Oct
a tool description was rewritten
fifteen_min_board
18 Oct
23 tools changed the parameters they ask for
adp_market_gaps, base_rate_gap, bayes_update and 20 more
18 Oct
18 tool descriptions were rewritten
base_rate_gap, calculate_ev, compare_players and 15 more
18 Oct
10 tools appeared
explain_game, explain_ladder, explain_prop and 7 more
8 Oct
28 tool descriptions were rewritten
adp_market_gaps, base_rate_gap, best_available and 25 more
8 Oct
28 tools changed the parameters they ask for
adp_market_gaps, base_rate_gap, bayes_update and 25 more
and 95 more, back to 11 August 2026
Prediction Markets Quant does not always answer
Over the last week it answered 0.3% of our checks. We check every 15 minutes, so you hear about the next outage within the hour — not from your users.
Connect this server
Endpoint below is the one we actually reach during checks — not the one copied from a README. Last verified 13 min ago.
run in your terminal
claude mcp add quant --transport http https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcpSettings → Connectors → Add custom connector, then paste this address
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp~/.codex/config.toml
[mcp_servers.quant]
url = "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp".cursor/mcp.json
{
"mcpServers": {
"quant": {
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp"
}
}
}.vscode/mcp.json
{
"servers": {
"quant": {
"type": "http",
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp"
}
}
}This server publishes 1 more address. The block above uses the one we reach during checks; the full list is under Endpoints below, and the author may intend a particular one for your client.
Available tools 39
Read directly from the server with tools/list, grouped by what they act on.
If a tool disappears, we record the date.
nfl
nfl_edge
Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi" and "NFL win total, MVP or Super Bowl edges". Our NFL model vs live Kalshi prices — this week's game positions, season win totals, MVP and championship odds: model probability, price, edge and side. tickers[] checks a watchlist (futures, mvp, championship). Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.
nfl_ladder
Use for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread" and "biggest ladder gaps this week". Every NFL strike ladder — spreads, season win totals, player props — with Kalshi's price at each strike beside our distribution and a SHAPE / LOCATION / PRICED / PARTIAL verdict. Our number is published only between 30% and 70%.
nfl_power_ratings
The PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR. Includes each team's rank and tier. Use for "best NFL teams by power rating", "NFL power rankings 2026", "is Baltimore overrated", "how good is Kansas City", "NFL team ratings".
nfl_prop_board
Use for "where is the best price on <player> receiving yards" and "is Kalshi cheaper than the books". Best price on every NFL prop this week: Kalshi (fee included) vs five books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN) and the Novig and ProphetX exchanges — the best price per side, how much cheaper Kalshi is than the books, the consensus gap, and the Kalshi close once a strike settles. Filter by team, game, player or stat.
nfl_prop_edge
Use for "best NFL props today" and "receiving yards prop value". Our projection vs the Kalshi "X or more" prop line: the contract, the YES/NO call, our odds and Kalshi's price for that side, the projection and the edge, with WATCH rows labelled. Live in season. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.
nfl_win_probability
Use for "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers" and "what does a -7 spread mean". Pass homeTeam + awayTeam (or game, or one team) for our QB-gated model line (raw power ratings if unscheduled), or a spread (home favored negative). Returns win, cover and over/under probability, the projected score and our own total; neutral-site games get no home edge.
explain
explain_game
Why our model prices one NFL game where it does: Kalshi price and market line, our win probability and its anchor, the model's lean in points, each team's offense/defense/special-teams rating, the QB gate, and the published position or why none. Use for "why do you price <team> vs <team> there", "explain the <team> game line".
explain_ladder
Why The Ladder reads one NFL strike ladder (a game spread, a season win total or a player prop) the way it does: the read in words, where Kalshi's ladder centres beside our projection, the widest published gap, and each strike with Kalshi's price and our number (30–70% only). Use for "explain the Chiefs win total ladder", "why does the ladder lean Browns".
explain_player
Why our model prices an NFL player's Kalshi prop strikes where it does this week: the projection, The Ladder's verdict, the widest published gap, and what the model does not account for (our number only where calibrated, 30–70%). Use for "why do you price <player> there", "explain <player>'s prop".
explain_prop
Why we publish a call on one NFL player prop this week: the contract, the YES/NO call and Kalshi's price, our tier (and calibrated odds where measured), our projection vs the threshold, published or held at WATCH and why, and what the model does not account for. Use for "why do you like <player>'s over", "explain the <player> prop".
nba
nba_game_board
Use for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight". Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.
nba_injury_impact
Use for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today". Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes, points, rebounds, assists and usage rose in past games without him (last two seasons, sample size on every row), beside today's Kalshi prop prices. Questionable players fork into plays/sits branches until ruled. Historical splits only, no projection.
nba_prop_board
Use for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight". Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.
arbitrage
find_arbitrage
Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same NFL, NBA, NHL or MLB game: Kalshi against Polymarket US (the exchange US traders use, fees included), Polymarket international as a reference. Gap in pp, WATCH/ARB signal, cheaper venue, settlement_match; near misses when nothing clears. Free: the top 3 gaps in full; Pro returns the whole board.
base
base_rate_gap
Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.
bayes
bayes_update
Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".
best
best_price
Use for "where is it cheapest to buy", "Kalshi or Polymarket US for the Bears game" and "cheapest venue for the Georgia Senate race". The same contract on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Novig as the cost to buy one contract including each venue's taker fee, with the cheapest named. Sports games (team, league or matchup), 2026 midterm races (state, slug or district) or the next FOMC meeting. Ranked by price only.
calculate
calculate_ev
Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.
combo
combo_edge
Use for "price a same-game NFL combo" and "is this combo worth it". Pass nflGame ("NYG-LAR", "Giants vs Rams") to list that game's Kalshi legs — moneyline, spreads, totals, player props — then legIds to price your pick with the correlation done for you. Or pass legPrices + trueWinProbability for a fair band; add offeredOdds for EV and a verdict. Free.
commodity
commodity_edge
Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a watchlist. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.
convert
convert_probability
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".
edge
edge_alerts
Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "where is the edge today" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One identical, impersonal feed for every subscriber; filters only select. Informational, not investment advice.
fed
fed_rate_odds
Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures, with the gap in pp.
fifteen
fifteen_min_board
Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source and the up rate over the last 96 windows; the same window on Polymarket international for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; and our live Bitcoin top-of-hour strategy with its record.
kelly
kelly_size
Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".
ladder
ladder_arb
Use for "is any CFB ladder mispriced" and "where can I make a market on Kalshi". Kalshi college football and NFL spread/total strikes priced out of order: locked arbitrage, crossed-mid inversions and wide books worth making a market in, with both tickers and books, gross edge, volume and tier. Pro adds the resting orders, net-of-fee edge and quarter-Kelly size.
league
my_league
Use for "show my fantasy team" and "what is Kalshi pricing my starters at". Give a Sleeper username (and a league name if you have several): your roster, each starter's opponent and kickoff, OUT and QB-gate flags, and every Kalshi prop strike on him this week with the best price per side. Market data; Pro adds our weekly projection.
market
market_pulse
The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off".
nhl
nhl_edge
Use for "NHL predictions tonight" and "Stanley Cup odds". Tonight's NHL games on Kalshi — moneyline, puck line, totals, period markets — as Market · Model · Fair, starting goalies checked first. market=goals: anytime and first-goal contracts; market=futures: Cup, conference and division markets on Kalshi and Polymarket (international book) vs a 10,000-season sim. Free.
perp
perp_liquidation
Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows the exact one. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free.
perps
perps_board
Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one.
player
player_outlook
One NFL player this week — every Kalshi prop line, the best price across venues, and our probability at each strike. Free. Use for "is <player> a good play this week", "<player> props".
race
race_odds
Use for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds". Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, by state, code, slug or district ("TX-34"): every leg's price, volume and link, the seat holder and rating, forecaster bands, and the race page. Prices are never estimated.
senate
senate_map
Use for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups". Every 2026 Senate seat: holder and role, structure rating, forecaster bands where tracked, and the live Kalshi price (Democrat win probability where provable), closest race first, with a page URL per seat. Prices are never estimated — an unpriced seat returns null.
sleepers
sleepers_and_busts
Every NFL player whose Kalshi prop price our model disagrees with this week, ranked, marked underpriced or overpriced with the stat driving it. Free, the complete list. The strike, price and size are in Pro nfl_prop_edge. Use for "undervalued players this week", "who is the market overpricing", "sleepers this week", "busts to avoid this week".
start
start_sit
Use for "should I start Nacua or Adams" and "who does the market like more this week". For 2–4 players: the median Kalshi is pricing for each stat (read off his own strike ladder) and his anytime-TD price, compared on the stats they share. Market prices only — the call stays yours; Pro adds our weekly projection.
track
track_record
Use for "how accurate is your model" and "what's your track record". Every graded PredictionMarketsPicks signal per engine (bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, NHL) and the daily editorial call (POTD): W-L, net P/L, a 95% win-rate range and the current model era, and the NFL model's 2026 live record (published game positions and prop PLAYs) beside its backtest. WATCH calls are reported apart.
waiver
waiver_targets
Use for "who is everyone adding off waivers" and "trending waiver adds this week". Sleeper's most-added players in the last 24 hours with what Kalshi is pricing each at this week; pass position, and a Sleeper username + league to see only players still available. Market data only.
weather
weather_board
Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only.
Tools removed
Tools this server used to expose. Anything built against them stopped working on the day they went.
adp_market_gaps
removed 25 Oct 2026
best_available
removed 25 Oct 2026
compare_players
removed 25 Oct 2026
draft_board
removed 25 Oct 2026
scan_mispricings
removed 25 Oct 2026
who_do_i_draft
removed 25 Oct 2026
Endpoints
| URL | Transport | State | Latency | Checked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp | streamable-http | answering | 75 ms | 13 min ago |
| https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry | streamable-http | answering | 76 ms | 13 min ago |
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Prediction Markets Quant — questions
Answers built from our own checks of this server.
What can Prediction Markets Quant do?
It exposes 39 tools, read directly from the server on our last check. Among them: base_rate_gap, bayes_update, best_price, calculate_ev, combo_edge, commodity_edge and 33 more. The full list with descriptions is on this page — we take it from the server itself via tools/list, not from a README.
How MCP servers expose tools in the first place →
What is Prediction Markets Quant mostly used for?
Its tools cluster around nfl, explain and nba. That is what this server is built to work with — the grouping comes from the actual tool names, not from a category we assigned.
Is Prediction Markets Quant working right now?
We send a real MCP handshake every 15 minutes. Over the last 24 hours 0 of 182 checks got a reply (0.0%), average response time 75 ms. The bar chart above shows every period we have measured.
Did Prediction Markets Quant ever remove tools?
Yes. adp_market_gaps, best_available, compare_players, draft_board and 2 more are no longer exposed — we recorded the date each one disappeared. A tool vanishing usually means a breaking change for anything that depended on it.
The registry lists Prediction Markets Quant as active — why does it not respond?
The official MCP registry stores what the author submitted; it does not verify that the server still runs. We check the endpoint ourselves, and this one does not answer. Catalogues that copy the registry without checking will show it as working.
How do I connect Prediction Markets Quant?
Copy the ready config from this page. We generate it for Claude Code, Claude Desktop, Codex, Cursor and VS Code, each in the form that client actually reads. It is a remote server, so there is nothing to install — the client connects to the address.
Does Prediction Markets Quant need an API key?
No. Prediction Markets Quant completed a full MCP handshake with us as an anonymous client and listed its tools without asking for anything. All 39 of them are readable on this page. This is what we observed, not what the docs claim.
Is Prediction Markets Quant open source?
The code is open source: it is published under the MIT licence, written in JavaScript, 0 stars on GitHub and 1 open issue. The licence covers the code in the repository, not the hosted service at predictionmarketspicks.com, which runs on its operator's own terms.