Macro & Commodities Desk MCP Server

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not responding

Macro & Commodities Desk is listed as active in the registry but did not answer our last check. It exposes 10 tools. Last commit 3 Nov 2026.

Kalshi macro: Fed rate odds, gold, silver, oil and bitcoin edges, 15-min markets, Kelly sizing.

Uptime history 43 days of history · worst day 0%

43 days agonow

0.0%

Uptime 24h

0 of 182 checks

Tools

read from the server

74 ms

Response time

average over 24h

Stars

last commit 3 Nov 2026

What changed 38

Every tool that appeared, vanished or quietly changed what it asks for. Recorded since 8 October 2026. No other catalogue keeps this.

25 Oct 10 tools changed the parameters they ask for base_rate_gap, calculate_ev, commodity_edge and 7 more

25 Oct a tool description was rewritten fifteen_min_board

23 Oct a tool description was rewritten fifteen_min_board

18 Oct 6 tools changed the parameters they ask for calculate_ev, convert_probability, fifteen_min_board and 3 more

18 Oct 4 tool descriptions were rewritten calculate_ev, fifteen_min_board, market_pulse and 1 more

18 Oct 2 tools appeared base_rate_gap, fed_rate_odds

8 Oct 8 tools changed the parameters they ask for calculate_ev, commodity_edge, convert_probability and 5 more

8 Oct 6 tool descriptions were rewritten calculate_ev, commodity_edge, fifteen_min_board and 3 more

Macro & Commodities Desk does not always answer

Over the last week it answered 0.2% of our checks. We check every 15 minutes, so you hear about the next outage within the hour — not from your users.

Connect this server

Endpoint below is the one we actually reach during checks — not the one copied from a README. Last verified 11 min ago.

Claude Code Claude Desktop Codex Cursor VS Code

run in your terminal

claude mcp add commodities --transport http https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp

Settings → Connectors → Add custom connector, then paste this address

https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp

~/.codex/config.toml

[mcp_servers.commodities]
url = "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"

.cursor/mcp.json

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "commodities": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"
    }
  }
}

.vscode/mcp.json

{
  "servers": {
    "commodities": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"
    }
  }
}

This server publishes 1 more address. The block above uses the one we reach during checks; the full list is under Endpoints below, and the author may intend a particular one for your client.

Available tools 10

Read directly from the server with tools/list, grouped by what they act on. If a tool disappears, we record the date.

base

base_rate_gap

Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.

calculate

calculate_ev

Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.

commodity

commodity_edge

Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a watchlist. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

convert

convert_probability

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

fed

fed_rate_odds

Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures, with the gap in pp.

fifteen

fifteen_min_board

Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source and the up rate over the last 96 windows; the same window on Polymarket international for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; and our live Bitcoin top-of-hour strategy with its record.

kelly

kelly_size

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

market

market_pulse

The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off".

perp

perp_liquidation

Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows the exact one. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free.

perps

perps_board

Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one.

Endpoints

URL	Transport	State	Latency	Checked
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp	streamable-http	answering	74 ms	11 min ago
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry	streamable-http	answering	74 ms	11 min ago

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Macro & Commodities Desk — questions

Answers built from our own checks of this server.

What can Macro & Commodities Desk do?

It exposes 10 tools, read directly from the server on our last check. Among them: base_rate_gap, calculate_ev, commodity_edge, convert_probability, fed_rate_odds, fifteen_min_board and 4 more. The full list with descriptions is on this page — we take it from the server itself via tools/list, not from a README. How MCP servers expose tools in the first place →

Is Macro & Commodities Desk working right now?

We send a real MCP handshake every 15 minutes. Over the last 24 hours 0 of 182 checks got a reply (0.0%), average response time 74 ms. The bar chart above shows every period we have measured.

The registry lists Macro & Commodities Desk as active — why does it not respond?

The official MCP registry stores what the author submitted; it does not verify that the server still runs. We check the endpoint ourselves, and this one does not answer. Catalogues that copy the registry without checking will show it as working.

How do I connect Macro & Commodities Desk?

Copy the ready config from this page. We generate it for Claude Code, Claude Desktop, Codex, Cursor and VS Code, each in the form that client actually reads. It is a remote server, so there is nothing to install — the client connects to the address.

Does Macro & Commodities Desk need an API key?

No. Macro & Commodities Desk completed a full MCP handshake with us as an anonymous client and listed its tools without asking for anything. All 10 of them are readable on this page. This is what we observed, not what the docs claim.

Is Macro & Commodities Desk open source?

The code is open source: it is published under the MIT licence, written in JavaScript, 0 stars on GitHub and 1 open issue. The licence covers the code in the repository, not the hosted service at predictionmarketspicks.com, which runs on its operator's own terms.